Asiana Airlines (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10810.0

020560 Stock   9,940  60.00  0.60%   
Asiana Airlines' future price is the expected price of Asiana Airlines instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asiana Airlines performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asiana Airlines Backtesting, Asiana Airlines Valuation, Asiana Airlines Correlation, Asiana Airlines Hype Analysis, Asiana Airlines Volatility, Asiana Airlines History as well as Asiana Airlines Performance.
  
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Asiana Airlines Target Price Odds to finish over 10810.0

The tendency of Asiana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10,810  or more in 90 days
 9,940 90 days 10,810 
about 10.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asiana Airlines to move over  10,810  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.84 (This Asiana Airlines probability density function shows the probability of Asiana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asiana Airlines price to stay between its current price of  9,940  and  10,810  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asiana Airlines has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asiana Airlines average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asiana Airlines will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asiana Airlines has an alpha of 0.0392, implying that it can generate a 0.0392 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asiana Airlines Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asiana Airlines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asiana Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,9399,9409,941
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,4547,45510,934
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asiana Airlines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asiana Airlines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asiana Airlines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Asiana Airlines.

Asiana Airlines Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asiana Airlines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asiana Airlines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asiana Airlines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asiana Airlines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
269.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Asiana Airlines Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asiana Airlines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asiana Airlines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asiana Airlines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Asiana Airlines Technical Analysis

Asiana Airlines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asiana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asiana Airlines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asiana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asiana Airlines Predictive Forecast Models

Asiana Airlines' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asiana Airlines' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asiana Airlines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asiana Airlines

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asiana Airlines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asiana Airlines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asiana Airlines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Asiana Stock

Asiana Airlines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asiana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asiana with respect to the benefits of owning Asiana Airlines security.