Kwang Jin (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,574

026910 Stock  KRW 2,085  55.00  2.71%   
Kwang Jin's future price is the expected price of Kwang Jin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kwang Jin Ind performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kwang Jin Backtesting, Kwang Jin Valuation, Kwang Jin Correlation, Kwang Jin Hype Analysis, Kwang Jin Volatility, Kwang Jin History as well as Kwang Jin Performance.
  
Please specify Kwang Jin's target price for which you would like Kwang Jin odds to be computed.

Kwang Jin Target Price Odds to finish below 4,574

The tendency of Kwang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,085 90 days 2,085 
about 37.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kwang Jin to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 37.33 (This Kwang Jin Ind probability density function shows the probability of Kwang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kwang Jin has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kwang Jin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kwang Jin Ind will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kwang Jin Ind has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kwang Jin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kwang Jin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kwang Jin Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0832,0852,087
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8762,1102,112
Details

Kwang Jin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kwang Jin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kwang Jin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kwang Jin Ind, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kwang Jin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
150.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Kwang Jin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kwang Jin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kwang Jin Ind can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kwang Jin Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kwang Jin Ind has accumulated about 1.85 B in cash with (2.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 860.03.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kwang Jin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kwang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kwang Jin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kwang Jin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Kwang Jin Technical Analysis

Kwang Jin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kwang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kwang Jin Ind. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kwang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kwang Jin Predictive Forecast Models

Kwang Jin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kwang Jin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kwang Jin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kwang Jin Ind

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kwang Jin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kwang Jin Ind help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kwang Jin Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kwang Jin Ind has accumulated about 1.85 B in cash with (2.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 860.03.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kwang Stock

Kwang Jin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kwang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kwang with respect to the benefits of owning Kwang Jin security.