Pan Ocean (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3620.0

028670 Stock   3,620  15.00  0.42%   
Pan Ocean's future price is the expected price of Pan Ocean instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pan Ocean Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pan Ocean Backtesting, Pan Ocean Valuation, Pan Ocean Correlation, Pan Ocean Hype Analysis, Pan Ocean Volatility, Pan Ocean History as well as Pan Ocean Performance.
  
Please specify Pan Ocean's target price for which you would like Pan Ocean odds to be computed.

Pan Ocean Target Price Odds to finish below 3620.0

The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3,620 90 days 3,620 
about 51.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Ocean to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 51.94 (This Pan Ocean Co probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pan Ocean Co has a beta of -0.0287. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pan Ocean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pan Ocean Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pan Ocean Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pan Ocean Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pan Ocean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Ocean. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6183,6203,622
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,0673,0693,982
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,5983,6003,603
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,6013,6153,629
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pan Ocean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pan Ocean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pan Ocean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pan Ocean.

Pan Ocean Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Ocean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Ocean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Ocean Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Ocean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
138.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Pan Ocean Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Ocean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Ocean can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Ocean generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Pan Ocean Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Ocean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Ocean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding534.6 M

Pan Ocean Technical Analysis

Pan Ocean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Ocean Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pan Ocean Predictive Forecast Models

Pan Ocean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Ocean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Ocean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pan Ocean

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Ocean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Ocean help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Ocean generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Pan Stock

Pan Ocean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pan with respect to the benefits of owning Pan Ocean security.