JYP Entertainment (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 72710.0

035900 Stock  KRW 73,500  3,700  5.30%   
JYP Entertainment's future price is the expected price of JYP Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JYP Entertainment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JYP Entertainment Backtesting, JYP Entertainment Valuation, JYP Entertainment Correlation, JYP Entertainment Hype Analysis, JYP Entertainment Volatility, JYP Entertainment History as well as JYP Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify JYP Entertainment's target price for which you would like JYP Entertainment odds to be computed.

JYP Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 72710.0

The tendency of JYP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 72,710  in 90 days
 73,500 90 days 72,710 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JYP Entertainment to stay above W 72,710  in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JYP Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of JYP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JYP Entertainment price to stay between W 72,710  and its current price of W73500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JYP Entertainment has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JYP Entertainment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JYP Entertainment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JYP Entertainment has an alpha of 0.6193, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JYP Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JYP Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JYP Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73,49773,50073,503
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65,99766,00080,850
Details

JYP Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JYP Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JYP Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JYP Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JYP Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
6,266
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

JYP Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JYP Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JYP Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JYP Entertainment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

JYP Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JYP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JYP Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JYP Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments104.4 B

JYP Entertainment Technical Analysis

JYP Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JYP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JYP Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing JYP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JYP Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

JYP Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many JYP Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JYP Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JYP Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about JYP Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JYP Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JYP Entertainment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in JYP Stock

JYP Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether JYP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JYP with respect to the benefits of owning JYP Entertainment security.