Cloud Air (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 845.00

036170 Stock  KRW 845.00  6.00  0.72%   
Cloud Air's future price is the expected price of Cloud Air instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cloud Air CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cloud Air Backtesting, Cloud Air Valuation, Cloud Air Correlation, Cloud Air Hype Analysis, Cloud Air Volatility, Cloud Air History as well as Cloud Air Performance.
  
Please specify Cloud Air's target price for which you would like Cloud Air odds to be computed.

Cloud Air Target Price Odds to finish over 845.00

The tendency of Cloud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 845.00 90 days 845.00 
about 91.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cloud Air to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.04 (This Cloud Air CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Cloud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cloud Air has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cloud Air average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cloud Air CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cloud Air CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cloud Air Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cloud Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cloud Air CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
853.70855.00856.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
740.84742.14940.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
858.74860.04861.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
835.39864.21893.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cloud Air. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cloud Air's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cloud Air's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cloud Air CoLtd.

Cloud Air Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cloud Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cloud Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cloud Air CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cloud Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
48.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Cloud Air Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cloud Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cloud Air CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloud Air CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Cloud Air Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cloud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cloud Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cloud Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.6 B

Cloud Air Technical Analysis

Cloud Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cloud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cloud Air CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cloud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cloud Air Predictive Forecast Models

Cloud Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cloud Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cloud Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cloud Air CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cloud Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cloud Air CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloud Air CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Cloud Stock

Cloud Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cloud Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cloud with respect to the benefits of owning Cloud Air security.