HansBiomed (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7314.2

042520 Stock  KRW 7,710  140.00  1.78%   
HansBiomed's future price is the expected price of HansBiomed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HansBiomed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HansBiomed Backtesting, HansBiomed Valuation, HansBiomed Correlation, HansBiomed Hype Analysis, HansBiomed Volatility, HansBiomed History as well as HansBiomed Performance.
  
Please specify HansBiomed's target price for which you would like HansBiomed odds to be computed.

HansBiomed Target Price Odds to finish over 7314.2

The tendency of HansBiomed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 7,314  in 90 days
 7,710 90 days 7,314 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HansBiomed to stay above W 7,314  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This HansBiomed probability density function shows the probability of HansBiomed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HansBiomed price to stay between W 7,314  and its current price of W7710.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HansBiomed has a beta of 0.57. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HansBiomed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HansBiomed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HansBiomed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HansBiomed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HansBiomed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HansBiomed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,7077,7107,713
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,1687,1708,481
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,9337,9357,938
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,7357,4888,241
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HansBiomed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HansBiomed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HansBiomed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HansBiomed.

HansBiomed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HansBiomed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HansBiomed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HansBiomed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HansBiomed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1,027
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

HansBiomed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HansBiomed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HansBiomed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HansBiomed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HansBiomed has accumulated about 7.52 B in cash with (4.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

HansBiomed Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HansBiomed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HansBiomed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HansBiomed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15 B

HansBiomed Technical Analysis

HansBiomed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HansBiomed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HansBiomed. In general, you should focus on analyzing HansBiomed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HansBiomed Predictive Forecast Models

HansBiomed's time-series forecasting models is one of many HansBiomed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HansBiomed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HansBiomed

Checking the ongoing alerts about HansBiomed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HansBiomed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HansBiomed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HansBiomed has accumulated about 7.52 B in cash with (4.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in HansBiomed Stock

HansBiomed financial ratios help investors to determine whether HansBiomed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HansBiomed with respect to the benefits of owning HansBiomed security.