Union Materials (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,578

047400 Stock   2,455  105.00  4.47%   
Union Materials' future price is the expected price of Union Materials instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Union Materials Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Union Materials Backtesting, Union Materials Valuation, Union Materials Correlation, Union Materials Hype Analysis, Union Materials Volatility, Union Materials History as well as Union Materials Performance.
  
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Union Materials Target Price Odds to finish below 2,578

The tendency of Union Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,455 90 days 2,455 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Union Materials to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Union Materials Corp probability density function shows the probability of Union Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Union Materials has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Union Materials Corp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Union Materials is expected to follow. Additionally Union Materials Corp has an alpha of 0.0414, implying that it can generate a 0.0414 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Union Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Union Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Materials Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4522,4552,458
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9871,9902,700
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,5772,5802,583
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,1572,3442,531
Details

Union Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Union Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Union Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Union Materials Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Union Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
128.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Union Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Union Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Union Materials Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Union Materials Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Union Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Union Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42 M

Union Materials Technical Analysis

Union Materials' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Union Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Union Materials Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Union Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Union Materials Predictive Forecast Models

Union Materials' time-series forecasting models is one of many Union Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Union Materials' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Union Materials Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Union Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Union Materials Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Union Stock

Union Materials financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Materials security.