SPG (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22,153

058610 Stock  KRW 22,150  800.00  3.75%   
SPG's future price is the expected price of SPG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SPG Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SPG Backtesting, SPG Valuation, SPG Correlation, SPG Hype Analysis, SPG Volatility, SPG History as well as SPG Performance.
  
Please specify SPG's target price for which you would like SPG odds to be computed.

SPG Target Price Odds to finish over 22,153

The tendency of SPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22,150 90 days 22,150 
about 67.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPG to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.49 (This SPG Co probability density function shows the probability of SPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPG Co has a beta of -0.47. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SPG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SPG Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SPG Co has an alpha of 0.1301, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SPG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SPG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPG Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,14722,15022,153
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19,16019,16224,365
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22,99722,99923,002
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21,12921,88322,638
Details

SPG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPG Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1,714
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

SPG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPG Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SPG Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SPG Co has accumulated about 18.13 B in cash with (15.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 412.86.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SPG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.2 B

SPG Technical Analysis

SPG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SPG Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SPG Predictive Forecast Models

SPG's time-series forecasting models is one of many SPG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SPG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SPG Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about SPG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SPG Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SPG Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SPG Co has accumulated about 18.13 B in cash with (15.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 412.86.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SPG Stock

SPG financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPG with respect to the benefits of owning SPG security.