KOSES CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6436.97
| 089890 Stock | KRW 7,120 300.00 4.04% |
KOSES |
KOSES CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 6436.97
The tendency of KOSES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 6,437 or more in 90 days |
| 7,120 | 90 days | 6,437 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KOSES CoLtd to drop to W 6,437 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KOSES CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of KOSES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KOSES CoLtd price to stay between W 6,437 and its current price of W7120.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KOSES CoLtd has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KOSES CoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KOSES CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KOSES CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KOSES CoLtd Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KOSES CoLtd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KOSES CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KOSES CoLtd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KOSES CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KOSES CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KOSES CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KOSES CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 960.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
KOSES CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KOSES CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KOSES CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KOSES CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KOSES CoLtd has accumulated 2.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.45, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. KOSES CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist KOSES CoLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KOSES CoLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KOSES CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KOSES to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KOSES CoLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 50.0% of KOSES CoLtd shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KOSES CoLtd Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KOSES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KOSES CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KOSES CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 8.2 M |
KOSES CoLtd Technical Analysis
KOSES CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KOSES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KOSES CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing KOSES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KOSES CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models
KOSES CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many KOSES CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KOSES CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KOSES CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about KOSES CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KOSES CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KOSES CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KOSES CoLtd has accumulated 2.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.45, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. KOSES CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist KOSES CoLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KOSES CoLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KOSES CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KOSES to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KOSES CoLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 50.0% of KOSES CoLtd shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KOSES Stock
KOSES CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether KOSES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KOSES with respect to the benefits of owning KOSES CoLtd security.