TES (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14820.0

095610 Stock  KRW 14,820  230.00  1.58%   
TES's future price is the expected price of TES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TES Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TES Backtesting, TES Valuation, TES Correlation, TES Hype Analysis, TES Volatility, TES History as well as TES Performance.
  
Please specify TES's target price for which you would like TES odds to be computed.

TES Target Price Odds to finish over 14820.0

The tendency of TES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14,820 90 days 14,820 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This TES Co probability density function shows the probability of TES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TES Co has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TES Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TES Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TES Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,81814,82014,822
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,19813,20116,302
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,39014,39214,394
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,52614,74314,960
Details

TES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TES Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1,291
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

TES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TES Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TES Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

TES Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130.1 B

TES Technical Analysis

TES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TES Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing TES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TES Predictive Forecast Models

TES's time-series forecasting models is one of many TES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TES Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about TES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TES Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TES Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in TES Stock

TES financial ratios help investors to determine whether TES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TES with respect to the benefits of owning TES security.