Carlsberg (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 738.30
| 0AI4 Stock | 738.30 17.50 2.43% |
Carlsberg |
Carlsberg Target Price Odds to finish over 738.30
The tendency of Carlsberg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 738.30 | 90 days | 738.30 | about 89.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlsberg to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.87 (This Carlsberg AS B probability density function shows the probability of Carlsberg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carlsberg has a beta of 0.0909. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Carlsberg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Carlsberg AS B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Carlsberg AS B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Carlsberg Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carlsberg
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlsberg AS B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carlsberg Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlsberg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlsberg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlsberg AS B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlsberg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 27.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Carlsberg Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlsberg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlsberg AS B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carlsberg AS B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 74.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (40.79 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.07 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Barclays bearish on Carlsberg stock as beer dominance wanes in key regions - Investing.com UK |
Carlsberg Technical Analysis
Carlsberg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carlsberg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carlsberg AS B. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carlsberg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carlsberg Predictive Forecast Models
Carlsberg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Carlsberg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carlsberg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carlsberg AS B
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlsberg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlsberg AS B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carlsberg AS B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 74.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (40.79 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.07 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Barclays bearish on Carlsberg stock as beer dominance wanes in key regions - Investing.com UK |
Additional Tools for Carlsberg Stock Analysis
When running Carlsberg's price analysis, check to measure Carlsberg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlsberg is operating at the current time. Most of Carlsberg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlsberg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlsberg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlsberg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.