LCI Industries (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 100.0
| 0DI Stock | EUR 101.00 3.50 3.59% |
LCI |
LCI Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 100.0
The tendency of LCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 100.00 in 90 days |
| 101.00 | 90 days | 100.00 | about 84.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LCI Industries to stay above € 100.00 in 90 days from now is about 84.6 (This LCI Industries probability density function shows the probability of LCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LCI Industries price to stay between € 100.00 and its current price of €101.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LCI Industries has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LCI Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LCI Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LCI Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LCI Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LCI Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LCI Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LCI Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LCI Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LCI Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LCI Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LCI Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
LCI Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LCI Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LCI Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LCI Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
LCI Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LCI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LCI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 23.1 M |
LCI Industries Technical Analysis
LCI Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LCI Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing LCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LCI Industries Predictive Forecast Models
LCI Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many LCI Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LCI Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LCI Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about LCI Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LCI Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LCI Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LCI Stock
When determining whether LCI Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LCI Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lci Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lci Industries Stock:Check out LCI Industries Backtesting, LCI Industries Valuation, LCI Industries Correlation, LCI Industries Hype Analysis, LCI Industries Volatility, LCI Industries History as well as LCI Industries Performance. For more detail on how to invest in LCI Stock please use our How to Invest in LCI Industries guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.