Electronic Arts (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 167.82

0IFX Stock   167.82  0.63  0.38%   
Electronic Arts' future price is the expected price of Electronic Arts instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Electronic Arts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Electronic Arts Backtesting, Electronic Arts Valuation, Electronic Arts Correlation, Electronic Arts Hype Analysis, Electronic Arts Volatility, Electronic Arts History as well as Electronic Arts Performance.
For more information on how to buy Electronic Stock please use our How to Invest in Electronic Arts guide.
  
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Electronic Arts Target Price Odds to finish over 167.82

The tendency of Electronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 167.82 90 days 167.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electronic Arts to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Electronic Arts probability density function shows the probability of Electronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electronic Arts has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Electronic Arts average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electronic Arts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electronic Arts has an alpha of 0.1543, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Electronic Arts Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Electronic Arts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Arts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
166.31167.33168.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.60189.12190.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
165.81166.83167.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
140.33156.06171.79
Details

Electronic Arts Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electronic Arts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electronic Arts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electronic Arts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electronic Arts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
7.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Electronic Arts Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electronic Arts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electronic Arts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Electronic Arts Inc.s Stock Is Going Strong Have Financials A Role To Play - Yahoo Finance

Electronic Arts Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electronic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electronic Arts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electronic Arts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding272 M
Dividends Paid205 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 B
Shares Float236.5 M

Electronic Arts Technical Analysis

Electronic Arts' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electronic Arts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Electronic Arts Predictive Forecast Models

Electronic Arts' time-series forecasting models is one of many Electronic Arts' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electronic Arts' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Electronic Arts

Checking the ongoing alerts about Electronic Arts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electronic Arts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Electronic Arts Inc.s Stock Is Going Strong Have Financials A Role To Play - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Electronic Stock Analysis

When running Electronic Arts' price analysis, check to measure Electronic Arts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electronic Arts is operating at the current time. Most of Electronic Arts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electronic Arts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electronic Arts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electronic Arts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.