Freddie Mac (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.12

0IKZ Stock   3.12  0.01  0.32%   
Freddie Mac's future price is the expected price of Freddie Mac instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Freddie Mac performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Freddie Mac Backtesting, Freddie Mac Valuation, Freddie Mac Correlation, Freddie Mac Hype Analysis, Freddie Mac Volatility, Freddie Mac History as well as Freddie Mac Performance.
  
Please specify Freddie Mac's target price for which you would like Freddie Mac odds to be computed.

Freddie Mac Target Price Odds to finish over 3.12

The tendency of Freddie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.12 90 days 3.12 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Freddie Mac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Freddie Mac probability density function shows the probability of Freddie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.36 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Freddie Mac will likely underperform. Moreover Freddie Mac has an alpha of 1.5336, implying that it can generate a 1.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Freddie Mac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Freddie Mac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freddie Mac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.1210.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.669.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.3210.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.072.893.71
Details

Freddie Mac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Freddie Mac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Freddie Mac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Freddie Mac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Freddie Mac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Freddie Mac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Freddie Mac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Freddie Mac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freddie Mac is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Freddie Mac appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: DOGE may push for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sale, TD Cowen says - Investing.com

Freddie Mac Technical Analysis

Freddie Mac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Freddie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Freddie Mac. In general, you should focus on analyzing Freddie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Freddie Mac Predictive Forecast Models

Freddie Mac's time-series forecasting models is one of many Freddie Mac's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Freddie Mac's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Freddie Mac

Checking the ongoing alerts about Freddie Mac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Freddie Mac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freddie Mac is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Freddie Mac appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: DOGE may push for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sale, TD Cowen says - Investing.com

Additional Tools for Freddie Stock Analysis

When running Freddie Mac's price analysis, check to measure Freddie Mac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freddie Mac is operating at the current time. Most of Freddie Mac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freddie Mac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freddie Mac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freddie Mac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.