Lowe Cos (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 263.01

0JVQ Stock   272.33  0.10  0.04%   
Lowe Cos' future price is the expected price of Lowe Cos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lowe Cos performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lowe Cos Backtesting, Lowe Cos Valuation, Lowe Cos Correlation, Lowe Cos Hype Analysis, Lowe Cos Volatility, Lowe Cos History as well as Lowe Cos Performance.
  
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Lowe Cos Target Price Odds to finish below 263.01

The tendency of Lowe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  263.01  or more in 90 days
 272.33 90 days 263.01 
about 43.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lowe Cos to drop to  263.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.16 (This Lowe Cos probability density function shows the probability of Lowe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lowe Cos price to stay between  263.01  and its current price of 272.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lowe Cos has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lowe Cos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lowe Cos will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lowe Cos has an alpha of 0.1401, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lowe Cos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lowe Cos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowe Cos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
271.70272.93274.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
232.97234.20299.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
271.86273.09274.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
266.17270.49274.82
Details

Lowe Cos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lowe Cos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lowe Cos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lowe Cos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lowe Cos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
10.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Lowe Cos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lowe Cos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lowe Cos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Howe Rusling Inc. Sells 3,265 Shares of Lowes Companies, Inc. - MarketBeat

Lowe Cos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lowe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lowe Cos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowe Cos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding584 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Lowe Cos Technical Analysis

Lowe Cos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lowe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lowe Cos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lowe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lowe Cos Predictive Forecast Models

Lowe Cos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lowe Cos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lowe Cos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lowe Cos

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lowe Cos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lowe Cos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Howe Rusling Inc. Sells 3,265 Shares of Lowes Companies, Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Lowe Stock Analysis

When running Lowe Cos' price analysis, check to measure Lowe Cos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lowe Cos is operating at the current time. Most of Lowe Cos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lowe Cos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lowe Cos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lowe Cos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.