Synchrony Financial (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.83
| 0LC3 Stock | 67.52 0.74 1.11% |
Synchrony |
Synchrony Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 55.83
The tendency of Synchrony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 55.83 or more in 90 days |
| 67.52 | 90 days | 55.83 | about 54.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Synchrony Financial to drop to 55.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.76 (This Synchrony Financial probability density function shows the probability of Synchrony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Synchrony Financial price to stay between 55.83 and its current price of 67.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.79 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Synchrony Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Synchrony Financial has an alpha of 0.1564, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Synchrony Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Synchrony Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchrony Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Synchrony Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Synchrony Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Synchrony Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Synchrony Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Synchrony Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Synchrony Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Synchrony Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Synchrony Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Synchrony Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Synchrony Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Swiss National Bank Trims Stock Position in Synchrony Financial - MarketBeat |
Synchrony Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Synchrony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 423.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.3 B |
Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis
Synchrony Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Synchrony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Synchrony Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Synchrony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Synchrony Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Synchrony Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Synchrony Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Synchrony Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Synchrony Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Synchrony Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Synchrony Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Synchrony Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Synchrony Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Swiss National Bank Trims Stock Position in Synchrony Financial - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Synchrony Stock Analysis
When running Synchrony Financial's price analysis, check to measure Synchrony Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synchrony Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Synchrony Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synchrony Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synchrony Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synchrony Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.