Jyske Bank (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 495.35

0MGD Stock   495.35  1.02  0.21%   
Jyske Bank's future price is the expected price of Jyske Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jyske Bank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jyske Bank Backtesting, Jyske Bank Valuation, Jyske Bank Correlation, Jyske Bank Hype Analysis, Jyske Bank Volatility, Jyske Bank History as well as Jyske Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Jyske Bank's target price for which you would like Jyske Bank odds to be computed.

Jyske Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 495.35

The tendency of Jyske Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 495.35 90 days 495.35 
about 17.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jyske Bank to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.12 (This Jyske Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Jyske Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jyske Bank AS has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jyske Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jyske Bank AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jyske Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jyske Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jyske Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jyske Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
494.29495.87497.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
402.85404.43544.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
496.30497.88499.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
483.07497.41511.76
Details

Jyske Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jyske Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jyske Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jyske Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jyske Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
19.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Jyske Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jyske Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jyske Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jyske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Swiss National Bank Trims Stock Position in Synchrony Financial - MarketBeat

Jyske Bank Technical Analysis

Jyske Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jyske Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jyske Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jyske Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jyske Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Jyske Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jyske Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jyske Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jyske Bank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jyske Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jyske Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jyske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Swiss National Bank Trims Stock Position in Synchrony Financial - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Jyske Stock Analysis

When running Jyske Bank's price analysis, check to measure Jyske Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jyske Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Jyske Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jyske Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jyske Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jyske Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.