Eiffage SA (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 84.12
| 0NPT Stock | 83.27 1.17 1.39% |
Eiffage |
Eiffage SA Target Price Odds to finish over 84.12
The tendency of Eiffage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 84.12 or more in 90 days |
| 83.27 | 90 days | 84.12 | about 88.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eiffage SA to move over 84.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 88.85 (This Eiffage SA probability density function shows the probability of Eiffage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eiffage SA price to stay between its current price of 83.27 and 84.12 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eiffage SA has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Eiffage SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eiffage SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eiffage SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Eiffage SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eiffage SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eiffage SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eiffage SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eiffage SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eiffage SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eiffage SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eiffage SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Eiffage SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eiffage SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eiffage SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eiffage SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eiffage SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Eiffage PE Ratio without NRI 8.12 - GuruFocus.com |
Eiffage SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eiffage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eiffage SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eiffage SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 752 M | |
| Shares Float | 74.8 M |
Eiffage SA Technical Analysis
Eiffage SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eiffage Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eiffage SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eiffage Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eiffage SA Predictive Forecast Models
Eiffage SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eiffage SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eiffage SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eiffage SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eiffage SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eiffage SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eiffage SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eiffage SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Eiffage PE Ratio without NRI 8.12 - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Eiffage Stock Analysis
When running Eiffage SA's price analysis, check to measure Eiffage SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eiffage SA is operating at the current time. Most of Eiffage SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eiffage SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eiffage SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eiffage SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.