Veolia Environnement (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.52
| 0NY8 Stock | 27.45 0.30 1.08% |
Veolia |
Veolia Environnement Target Price Odds to finish below 28.52
The tendency of Veolia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 28.52 after 90 days |
| 27.45 | 90 days | 28.52 | about 11.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Veolia Environnement to stay under 28.52 after 90 days from now is about 11.72 (This Veolia Environnement VE probability density function shows the probability of Veolia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Veolia Environnement price to stay between its current price of 27.45 and 28.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Veolia Environnement has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Veolia Environnement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Veolia Environnement VE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Veolia Environnement VE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Veolia Environnement Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Veolia Environnement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veolia Environnement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Veolia Environnement Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Veolia Environnement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Veolia Environnement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Veolia Environnement VE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Veolia Environnement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Veolia Environnement Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Veolia Environnement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Veolia Environnement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Veolia Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Veolia Environnement is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Veolia Environnement Technical Analysis
Veolia Environnement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Veolia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Veolia Environnement VE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Veolia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Veolia Environnement Predictive Forecast Models
Veolia Environnement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Veolia Environnement's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Veolia Environnement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Veolia Environnement
Checking the ongoing alerts about Veolia Environnement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Veolia Environnement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Veolia Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Veolia Environnement is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Tools for Veolia Stock Analysis
When running Veolia Environnement's price analysis, check to measure Veolia Environnement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Veolia Environnement is operating at the current time. Most of Veolia Environnement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Veolia Environnement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Veolia Environnement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Veolia Environnement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.