Seche Environnement (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 107.19

0OG6 Stock   82.30  0.10  0.12%   
Seche Environnement's future price is the expected price of Seche Environnement instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seche Environnement SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seche Environnement Backtesting, Seche Environnement Valuation, Seche Environnement Correlation, Seche Environnement Hype Analysis, Seche Environnement Volatility, Seche Environnement History as well as Seche Environnement Performance.
  
Please specify Seche Environnement's target price for which you would like Seche Environnement odds to be computed.

Seche Environnement Target Price Odds to finish below 107.19

The tendency of Seche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  107.19  after 90 days
 82.30 90 days 107.19 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seche Environnement to stay under  107.19  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Seche Environnement SA probability density function shows the probability of Seche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seche Environnement price to stay between its current price of  82.30  and  107.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seche Environnement has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Seche Environnement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seche Environnement SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seche Environnement SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seche Environnement Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seche Environnement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seche Environnement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.5082.3084.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.5677.3690.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.8577.6579.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.1185.9794.82
Details

Seche Environnement Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seche Environnement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seche Environnement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seche Environnement SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seche Environnement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Seche Environnement Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seche Environnement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seche Environnement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seche Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Will Want Sch Environnements Growth In ROCE To Persist - Simply Wall St

Seche Environnement Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seche Environnement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seche Environnement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments162.2 M

Seche Environnement Technical Analysis

Seche Environnement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seche Environnement SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seche Environnement Predictive Forecast Models

Seche Environnement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seche Environnement's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seche Environnement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seche Environnement

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seche Environnement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seche Environnement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seche Environnement generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Will Want Sch Environnements Growth In ROCE To Persist - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Seche Stock Analysis

When running Seche Environnement's price analysis, check to measure Seche Environnement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seche Environnement is operating at the current time. Most of Seche Environnement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seche Environnement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seche Environnement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seche Environnement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.