Mawer Canadien Obligations Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 10.93
| 0P00007174 | CAD 11.54 0.03 0.26% |
Mawer |
Mawer Canadien Target Price Odds to finish below 10.93
The tendency of Mawer Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 10.93 or more in 90 days |
| 11.54 | 90 days | 10.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mawer Canadien to drop to C$ 10.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mawer Canadien obligations probability density function shows the probability of Mawer Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mawer Canadien oblig price to stay between C$ 10.93 and its current price of C$11.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mawer Canadien obligations has a beta of -0.0461. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mawer Canadien are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mawer Canadien obligations is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mawer Canadien obligations has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mawer Canadien Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mawer Canadien
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawer Canadien oblig. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mawer Canadien Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mawer Canadien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mawer Canadien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mawer Canadien obligations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mawer Canadien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.52 |
Mawer Canadien Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mawer Canadien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mawer Canadien oblig can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mawer Canadien oblig generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 95.45% of its total net assets in fixed income securities |
Mawer Canadien Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mawer Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mawer Canadien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawer Canadien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Mawer Canadien Technical Analysis
Mawer Canadien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mawer Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mawer Canadien obligations. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mawer Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mawer Canadien Predictive Forecast Models
Mawer Canadien's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mawer Canadien's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mawer Canadien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mawer Canadien oblig
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mawer Canadien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mawer Canadien oblig help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mawer Canadien oblig generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 95.45% of its total net assets in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Mawer Fund
Mawer Canadien financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mawer Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mawer with respect to the benefits of owning Mawer Canadien security.
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