Echiquier Major (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 409.55

0P0000OQRJ  EUR 409.55  0.19  0.05%   
Echiquier Major's future price is the expected price of Echiquier Major instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Echiquier Major SRI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Echiquier Major Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Echiquier Major Correlation, Echiquier Major Hype Analysis, Echiquier Major Volatility, Echiquier Major History as well as Echiquier Major Performance.
  
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Echiquier Major Target Price Odds to finish below 409.55

The tendency of Echiquier Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 409.55 90 days 409.55 
about 74.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Echiquier Major to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 74.25 (This Echiquier Major SRI probability density function shows the probability of Echiquier Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Echiquier Major has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Echiquier Major average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Echiquier Major SRI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Echiquier Major SRI has an alpha of 0.0045, implying that it can generate a 0.004451 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Echiquier Major Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Echiquier Major

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Echiquier Major SRI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
408.76409.55410.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
407.37408.16450.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
411.38412.17412.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
396.21404.76413.30
Details

Echiquier Major Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Echiquier Major is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Echiquier Major's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Echiquier Major SRI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Echiquier Major within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
5.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Echiquier Major Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Echiquier Major for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Echiquier Major SRI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.11% of its total net assets in equities

Echiquier Major Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Echiquier Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Echiquier Major's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Echiquier Major's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Echiquier Major Technical Analysis

Echiquier Major's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Echiquier Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Echiquier Major SRI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Echiquier Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Echiquier Major Predictive Forecast Models

Echiquier Major's time-series forecasting models is one of many Echiquier Major's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Echiquier Major's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Echiquier Major SRI

Checking the ongoing alerts about Echiquier Major for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Echiquier Major SRI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.11% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Echiquier Fund

Echiquier Major financial ratios help investors to determine whether Echiquier Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Echiquier with respect to the benefits of owning Echiquier Major security.
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