Prosiebensat (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.71
| 0QG9 Stock | 4.74 0.06 1.25% |
Prosiebensat |
Prosiebensat Target Price Odds to finish below 4.71
The tendency of Prosiebensat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.71 or more in 90 days |
| 4.74 | 90 days | 4.71 | about 1.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prosiebensat to drop to 4.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.5 (This Prosiebensat 1 Media probability density function shows the probability of Prosiebensat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prosiebensat 1 Media price to stay between 4.71 and its current price of 4.74 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prosiebensat has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Prosiebensat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prosiebensat 1 Media will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prosiebensat 1 Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prosiebensat Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Prosiebensat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosiebensat 1 Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prosiebensat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prosiebensat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prosiebensat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prosiebensat 1 Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prosiebensat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Prosiebensat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prosiebensat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prosiebensat 1 Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prosiebensat 1 Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Prosiebensat 1 Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Top investor MFE urges ProSieben to speed up turnaround after guidance cut - MSN |
Prosiebensat Technical Analysis
Prosiebensat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prosiebensat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prosiebensat 1 Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prosiebensat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prosiebensat Predictive Forecast Models
Prosiebensat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prosiebensat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prosiebensat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prosiebensat 1 Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prosiebensat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prosiebensat 1 Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prosiebensat 1 Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Prosiebensat 1 Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Top investor MFE urges ProSieben to speed up turnaround after guidance cut - MSN |
Additional Tools for Prosiebensat Stock Analysis
When running Prosiebensat's price analysis, check to measure Prosiebensat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prosiebensat is operating at the current time. Most of Prosiebensat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prosiebensat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prosiebensat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prosiebensat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.