Qyou Media (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.78

0QY Stock  EUR 0.02  0.01  43.33%   
Qyou Media's future price is the expected price of Qyou Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qyou Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qyou Media Backtesting, Qyou Media Valuation, Qyou Media Correlation, Qyou Media Hype Analysis, Qyou Media Volatility, Qyou Media History as well as Qyou Media Performance.
  
Please specify Qyou Media's target price for which you would like Qyou Media odds to be computed.

Qyou Media Target Price Odds to finish over 51.78

The tendency of Qyou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 51.78  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 51.78 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qyou Media to move over € 51.78  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Qyou Media probability density function shows the probability of Qyou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qyou Media price to stay between its current price of € 0.02  and € 51.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Qyou Media has a beta of -5.55. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Qyou Media are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Qyou Media is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Qyou Media has an alpha of 8.6635, implying that it can generate a 8.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qyou Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qyou Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qyou Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0250.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0250.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0251.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

Qyou Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qyou Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qyou Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qyou Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qyou Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
8.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones-5.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Qyou Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qyou Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qyou Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qyou Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Qyou Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Qyou Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Qyou Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Qyou Media has accumulated 150.34 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.0, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Qyou Media has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Qyou Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Qyou Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Qyou Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Qyou to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Qyou Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 32.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.06 M.
Qyou Media has accumulated about 1.84 M in cash with (10.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Qyou Media Technical Analysis

Qyou Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qyou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qyou Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qyou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qyou Media Predictive Forecast Models

Qyou Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qyou Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qyou Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qyou Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qyou Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qyou Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qyou Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Qyou Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Qyou Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Qyou Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Qyou Media has accumulated 150.34 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.0, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Qyou Media has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Qyou Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Qyou Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Qyou Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Qyou to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Qyou Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 32.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.06 M.
Qyou Media has accumulated about 1.84 M in cash with (10.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Qyou Stock

Qyou Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qyou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qyou with respect to the benefits of owning Qyou Media security.