TechnipFMC PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.18

0RMV Stock   29.52  0.21  0.72%   
TechnipFMC PLC's future price is the expected price of TechnipFMC PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TechnipFMC PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TechnipFMC PLC Backtesting, TechnipFMC PLC Valuation, TechnipFMC PLC Correlation, TechnipFMC PLC Hype Analysis, TechnipFMC PLC Volatility, TechnipFMC PLC History as well as TechnipFMC PLC Performance.
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TechnipFMC PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 29.18

The tendency of TechnipFMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  29.18  or more in 90 days
 29.52 90 days 29.18 
about 91.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TechnipFMC PLC to drop to  29.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 91.55 (This TechnipFMC PLC probability density function shows the probability of TechnipFMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TechnipFMC PLC price to stay between  29.18  and its current price of 29.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TechnipFMC PLC has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TechnipFMC PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TechnipFMC PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TechnipFMC PLC has an alpha of 0.3763, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TechnipFMC PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TechnipFMC PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechnipFMC PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4129.4531.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3833.0035.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.1528.2030.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.7229.5130.30
Details

TechnipFMC PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TechnipFMC PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TechnipFMC PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TechnipFMC PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TechnipFMC PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
2.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

TechnipFMC PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TechnipFMC PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TechnipFMC PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 13.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.24 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Latest headline from news.google.com: TechnipFMC plc Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

TechnipFMC PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TechnipFMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TechnipFMC PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TechnipFMC PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid59.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 B

TechnipFMC PLC Technical Analysis

TechnipFMC PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TechnipFMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TechnipFMC PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing TechnipFMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TechnipFMC PLC Predictive Forecast Models

TechnipFMC PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many TechnipFMC PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TechnipFMC PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TechnipFMC PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about TechnipFMC PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TechnipFMC PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 13.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.24 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Latest headline from news.google.com: TechnipFMC plc Shares Purchased by State Street Corp - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for TechnipFMC Stock Analysis

When running TechnipFMC PLC's price analysis, check to measure TechnipFMC PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TechnipFMC PLC is operating at the current time. Most of TechnipFMC PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TechnipFMC PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TechnipFMC PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TechnipFMC PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.