Woorim Machinery (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5190.0

101170 Stock  KRW 5,270  100.00  1.86%   
Woorim Machinery's future price is the expected price of Woorim Machinery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Woorim Machinery Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Woorim Machinery Backtesting, Woorim Machinery Valuation, Woorim Machinery Correlation, Woorim Machinery Hype Analysis, Woorim Machinery Volatility, Woorim Machinery History as well as Woorim Machinery Performance.
  
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Woorim Machinery Target Price Odds to finish over 5190.0

The tendency of Woorim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 5,190  in 90 days
 5,270 90 days 5,190 
about 85.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Woorim Machinery to stay above W 5,190  in 90 days from now is about 85.38 (This Woorim Machinery Co probability density function shows the probability of Woorim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Woorim Machinery price to stay between W 5,190  and its current price of W5270.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Woorim Machinery has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Woorim Machinery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Woorim Machinery Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Woorim Machinery Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Woorim Machinery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Woorim Machinery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woorim Machinery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,2685,2705,272
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,2225,2255,797
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,2035,2055,208
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,2095,3035,398
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Woorim Machinery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Woorim Machinery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Woorim Machinery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Woorim Machinery.

Woorim Machinery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Woorim Machinery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Woorim Machinery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Woorim Machinery Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Woorim Machinery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
353.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Woorim Machinery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Woorim Machinery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Woorim Machinery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woorim Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Woorim Machinery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Woorim Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Woorim Machinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Woorim Machinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.6 B

Woorim Machinery Technical Analysis

Woorim Machinery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Woorim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Woorim Machinery Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Woorim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Woorim Machinery Predictive Forecast Models

Woorim Machinery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Woorim Machinery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Woorim Machinery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Woorim Machinery

Checking the ongoing alerts about Woorim Machinery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Woorim Machinery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Woorim Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Woorim Stock

Woorim Machinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Woorim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Woorim with respect to the benefits of owning Woorim Machinery security.