WONIK Materials (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17480.0

104830 Stock   17,480  360.00  2.10%   
WONIK Materials' future price is the expected price of WONIK Materials instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WONIK Materials CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WONIK Materials Backtesting, WONIK Materials Valuation, WONIK Materials Correlation, WONIK Materials Hype Analysis, WONIK Materials Volatility, WONIK Materials History as well as WONIK Materials Performance.
  
Please specify WONIK Materials' target price for which you would like WONIK Materials odds to be computed.

WONIK Materials Target Price Odds to finish below 17480.0

The tendency of WONIK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 17,480 90 days 17,480 
about 11.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WONIK Materials to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 11.47 (This WONIK Materials CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of WONIK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WONIK Materials has a beta of 0.0705. This suggests as returns on the market go up, WONIK Materials average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WONIK Materials CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WONIK Materials CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   WONIK Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WONIK Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WONIK Materials CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17,47817,48017,482
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,42616,42819,228
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,82417,82617,829
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16,48617,40018,314
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WONIK Materials. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WONIK Materials' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WONIK Materials' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WONIK Materials CoLtd.

WONIK Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WONIK Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WONIK Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WONIK Materials CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WONIK Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
3,497
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

WONIK Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WONIK Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WONIK Materials CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WONIK Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

WONIK Materials Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WONIK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WONIK Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WONIK Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.6 M
Dividends Paid2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments44.9 B

WONIK Materials Technical Analysis

WONIK Materials' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WONIK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WONIK Materials CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing WONIK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WONIK Materials Predictive Forecast Models

WONIK Materials' time-series forecasting models is one of many WONIK Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WONIK Materials' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WONIK Materials CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about WONIK Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WONIK Materials CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WONIK Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in WONIK Stock

WONIK Materials financial ratios help investors to determine whether WONIK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WONIK with respect to the benefits of owning WONIK Materials security.