Fiverr International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.13

11V Stock  EUR 30.13  0.73  2.37%   
Fiverr International's future price is the expected price of Fiverr International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fiverr International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fiverr International Backtesting, Fiverr International Valuation, Fiverr International Correlation, Fiverr International Hype Analysis, Fiverr International Volatility, Fiverr International History as well as Fiverr International Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Fiverr Stock please use our How to Invest in Fiverr International guide.
  
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Fiverr International Target Price Odds to finish over 30.13

The tendency of Fiverr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.13 90 days 30.13 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiverr International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fiverr International probability density function shows the probability of Fiverr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fiverr International has a beta of 0.94. This suggests Fiverr International market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fiverr International is expected to follow. Additionally Fiverr International has an alpha of 0.3096, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fiverr International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fiverr International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiverr International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5030.1333.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6722.3033.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8328.4632.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.6930.3731.06
Details

Fiverr International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiverr International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiverr International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiverr International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiverr International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Fiverr International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiverr International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiverr International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiverr International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fiverr International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 337.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.42 M.
About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Fiverr International Technical Analysis

Fiverr International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiverr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiverr International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiverr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fiverr International Predictive Forecast Models

Fiverr International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiverr International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiverr International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fiverr International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiverr International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiverr International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiverr International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fiverr International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 337.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.42 M.
About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Fiverr Stock

When determining whether Fiverr International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fiverr International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fiverr International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fiverr Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Fiverr International Backtesting, Fiverr International Valuation, Fiverr International Correlation, Fiverr International Hype Analysis, Fiverr International Volatility, Fiverr International History as well as Fiverr International Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Fiverr Stock please use our How to Invest in Fiverr International guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fiverr International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fiverr International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fiverr International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.