MS Autotech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2432.85
| 123040 Stock | KRW 2,755 45.00 1.61% |
123040 |
MS Autotech Target Price Odds to finish below 2432.85
The tendency of 123040 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 2,433 or more in 90 days |
| 2,755 | 90 days | 2,433 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MS Autotech to drop to W 2,433 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MS Autotech CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of 123040 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MS Autotech CoLtd price to stay between W 2,433 and its current price of W2755.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MS Autotech CoLtd has a beta of -0.0636. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MS Autotech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MS Autotech CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MS Autotech CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MS Autotech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MS Autotech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MS Autotech CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MS Autotech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MS Autotech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MS Autotech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MS Autotech CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MS Autotech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 303.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
MS Autotech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MS Autotech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MS Autotech CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MS Autotech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MS Autotech CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MS Autotech CoLtd has accumulated 290.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 393.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MS Autotech CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MS Autotech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MS Autotech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MS Autotech CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 123040 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MS Autotech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 25.0% of MS Autotech shares are owned by insiders or employees |
MS Autotech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 123040 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MS Autotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MS Autotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 142.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 20.6 M |
MS Autotech Technical Analysis
MS Autotech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 123040 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MS Autotech CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing 123040 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MS Autotech Predictive Forecast Models
MS Autotech's time-series forecasting models is one of many MS Autotech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MS Autotech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MS Autotech CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about MS Autotech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MS Autotech CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MS Autotech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MS Autotech CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MS Autotech CoLtd has accumulated 290.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 393.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MS Autotech CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MS Autotech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MS Autotech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MS Autotech CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 123040 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MS Autotech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 25.0% of MS Autotech shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in 123040 Stock
MS Autotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether 123040 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 123040 with respect to the benefits of owning MS Autotech security.