Hunya Foods (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.75
| 1236 Stock | TWD 23.25 0.05 0.22% |
Hunya |
Hunya Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 23.75
The tendency of Hunya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 23.75 after 90 days |
| 23.25 | 90 days | 23.75 | about 71.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hunya Foods to stay under NT$ 23.75 after 90 days from now is about 71.31 (This Hunya Foods Co probability density function shows the probability of Hunya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hunya Foods price to stay between its current price of NT$ 23.25 and NT$ 23.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hunya Foods has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hunya Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hunya Foods Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hunya Foods Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hunya Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hunya Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hunya Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hunya Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hunya Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hunya Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hunya Foods Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hunya Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Hunya Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hunya Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hunya Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hunya Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.76 B. Net Loss for the year was (27.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 452.29 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hunya Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hunya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hunya Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hunya Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.3 M |
Hunya Foods Technical Analysis
Hunya Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hunya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hunya Foods Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hunya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hunya Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Hunya Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hunya Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hunya Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hunya Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hunya Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hunya Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hunya Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.76 B. Net Loss for the year was (27.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 452.29 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Hunya Stock Analysis
When running Hunya Foods' price analysis, check to measure Hunya Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hunya Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hunya Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hunya Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hunya Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hunya Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.