Tesna (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26567.5

131970 Stock  KRW 26,950  1,900  7.58%   
Tesna's future price is the expected price of Tesna instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tesna Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tesna Backtesting, Tesna Valuation, Tesna Correlation, Tesna Hype Analysis, Tesna Volatility, Tesna History as well as Tesna Performance.
  
Please specify Tesna's target price for which you would like Tesna odds to be computed.

Tesna Target Price Odds to finish below 26567.5

The tendency of Tesna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 26,568  or more in 90 days
 26,950 90 days 26,568 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tesna to drop to W 26,568  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This Tesna Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tesna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tesna Inc price to stay between W 26,568  and its current price of W26950.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tesna Inc has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tesna are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tesna Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tesna Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tesna Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tesna

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tesna Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26,94726,95026,953
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,22323,22629,645
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26,78526,78826,791
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22,41526,94831,480
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tesna. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tesna's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tesna's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tesna Inc.

Tesna Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tesna is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tesna's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tesna Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tesna within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2,840
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Tesna Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tesna for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tesna Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesna Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tesna Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tesna Inc has accumulated 103.88 B in total debt. Tesna Inc has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tesna until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tesna's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tesna Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tesna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tesna's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tesna Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tesna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tesna's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tesna's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47.4 B

Tesna Technical Analysis

Tesna's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tesna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tesna Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tesna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tesna Predictive Forecast Models

Tesna's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tesna's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tesna's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tesna Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tesna for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tesna Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesna Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tesna Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tesna Inc has accumulated 103.88 B in total debt. Tesna Inc has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tesna until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tesna's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tesna Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tesna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tesna's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Tesna Stock

Tesna financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tesna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tesna with respect to the benefits of owning Tesna security.