De Licacy (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.28
| 1464 Stock | TWD 16.00 0.55 3.56% |
1464 |
De Licacy Target Price Odds to finish over 15.28
The tendency of 1464 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 15.28 in 90 days |
| 16.00 | 90 days | 15.28 | about 37.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of De Licacy to stay above NT$ 15.28 in 90 days from now is about 37.89 (This De Licacy Industrial probability density function shows the probability of 1464 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of De Licacy Industrial price to stay between NT$ 15.28 and its current price of NT$16.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon De Licacy has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, De Licacy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding De Licacy Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally De Licacy Industrial has an alpha of 0.2063, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). De Licacy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for De Licacy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as De Licacy Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.De Licacy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. De Licacy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the De Licacy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold De Licacy Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of De Licacy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
De Licacy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of De Licacy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for De Licacy Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| De Licacy Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
De Licacy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1464 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential De Licacy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. De Licacy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 384.6 M |
De Licacy Technical Analysis
De Licacy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1464 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of De Licacy Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1464 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
De Licacy Predictive Forecast Models
De Licacy's time-series forecasting models is one of many De Licacy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary De Licacy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about De Licacy Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about De Licacy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for De Licacy Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| De Licacy Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for 1464 Stock Analysis
When running De Licacy's price analysis, check to measure De Licacy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy De Licacy is operating at the current time. Most of De Licacy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of De Licacy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move De Licacy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of De Licacy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.