Falcon Power (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.07
| 1516 Stock | TWD 17.20 0.30 1.78% |
Falcon |
Falcon Power Target Price Odds to finish below 16.07
The tendency of Falcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 16.07 or more in 90 days |
| 17.20 | 90 days | 16.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Power to drop to NT$ 16.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Falcon Power Co probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Falcon Power price to stay between NT$ 16.07 and its current price of NT$17.2 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Falcon Power Co has a beta of -0.0482. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Falcon Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Falcon Power Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Falcon Power Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Falcon Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falcon Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Falcon Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Power Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Falcon Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Falcon Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Falcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Falcon Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Falcon Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 55.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.55 |
Falcon Power Technical Analysis
Falcon Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falcon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falcon Power Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falcon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falcon Power Predictive Forecast Models
Falcon Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Falcon Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falcon Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falcon Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falcon Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Falcon Stock Analysis
When running Falcon Power's price analysis, check to measure Falcon Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Power is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.