Chiu Ting (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.96
| 1539 Stock | TWD 23.20 0.40 1.69% |
Chiu |
Chiu Ting Target Price Odds to finish below 15.96
The tendency of Chiu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 15.96 or more in 90 days |
| 23.20 | 90 days | 15.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chiu Ting to drop to NT$ 15.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chiu Ting Machinery probability density function shows the probability of Chiu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chiu Ting Machinery price to stay between NT$ 15.96 and its current price of NT$23.2 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chiu Ting has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Chiu Ting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chiu Ting Machinery will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chiu Ting Machinery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chiu Ting Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chiu Ting
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chiu Ting Machinery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chiu Ting Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chiu Ting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chiu Ting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chiu Ting Machinery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chiu Ting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Chiu Ting Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chiu Ting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chiu Ting Machinery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chiu Ting Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chiu Ting Machinery has accumulated about 364.45 M in cash with (86.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.57. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chiu Ting Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chiu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chiu Ting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chiu Ting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.4 M |
Chiu Ting Technical Analysis
Chiu Ting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chiu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chiu Ting Machinery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chiu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chiu Ting Predictive Forecast Models
Chiu Ting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chiu Ting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chiu Ting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chiu Ting Machinery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chiu Ting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chiu Ting Machinery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chiu Ting Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chiu Ting Machinery has accumulated about 364.45 M in cash with (86.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.57. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Chiu Stock Analysis
When running Chiu Ting's price analysis, check to measure Chiu Ting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chiu Ting is operating at the current time. Most of Chiu Ting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chiu Ting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chiu Ting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chiu Ting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.