Boyaa Interactive (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.48

1BY Stock  EUR 0.59  0.04  7.27%   
Boyaa Interactive's future price is the expected price of Boyaa Interactive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boyaa Interactive International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boyaa Interactive Backtesting, Boyaa Interactive Valuation, Boyaa Interactive Correlation, Boyaa Interactive Hype Analysis, Boyaa Interactive Volatility, Boyaa Interactive History as well as Boyaa Interactive Performance.
  
Please specify Boyaa Interactive's target price for which you would like Boyaa Interactive odds to be computed.

Boyaa Interactive Target Price Odds to finish below 0.48

The tendency of Boyaa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.48  or more in 90 days
 0.59 90 days 0.48 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boyaa Interactive to drop to € 0.48  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Boyaa Interactive International probability density function shows the probability of Boyaa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boyaa Interactive price to stay between € 0.48  and its current price of €0.59 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This suggests Boyaa Interactive International market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Boyaa Interactive is expected to follow. In addition to that Boyaa Interactive International has an alpha of 2.0052, implying that it can generate a 2.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boyaa Interactive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boyaa Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boyaa Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.597.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.417.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.637.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.400.540.68
Details

Boyaa Interactive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boyaa Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boyaa Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boyaa Interactive International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boyaa Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Boyaa Interactive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boyaa Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boyaa Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boyaa Interactive is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Boyaa Interactive has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Boyaa Interactive appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Boyaa Interactive Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boyaa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boyaa Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boyaa Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding709.9 M

Boyaa Interactive Technical Analysis

Boyaa Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boyaa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boyaa Interactive International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boyaa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boyaa Interactive Predictive Forecast Models

Boyaa Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boyaa Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boyaa Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boyaa Interactive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boyaa Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boyaa Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boyaa Interactive is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Boyaa Interactive has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Boyaa Interactive appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Boyaa Stock

Boyaa Interactive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boyaa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boyaa with respect to the benefits of owning Boyaa Interactive security.