VanEck 1 (Australia) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 50.78

1GOV Etf   50.78  0.04  0.08%   
VanEck 1's future price is the expected price of VanEck 1 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck 1 5 Year performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck 1 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck 1 Correlation, VanEck 1 Hype Analysis, VanEck 1 Volatility, VanEck 1 History as well as VanEck 1 Performance.
  
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VanEck 1 Target Price Odds to finish over 50.78

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.78 90 days 50.78 
about 81.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck 1 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.83 (This VanEck 1 5 Year probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VanEck 1 has a beta of 0.0012. This suggests as returns on the market go up, VanEck 1 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck 1 5 Year will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck 1 5 Year has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VanEck 1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck 1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck 1 5. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.6150.7850.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.4149.5855.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.5950.7650.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.7350.7750.80
Details

VanEck 1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck 1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck 1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck 1 5 Year, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck 1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.77

VanEck 1 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck 1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck 1 5 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck 1 5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

VanEck 1 Technical Analysis

VanEck 1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck 1 5 Year. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck 1 Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck 1's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck 1's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck 1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck 1 5

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck 1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck 1 5 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VanEck 1 5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in VanEck Etf

VanEck 1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether VanEck Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VanEck with respect to the benefits of owning VanEck 1 security.