Knowles (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.5

1K3 Stock  EUR 18.50  0.30  1.60%   
Knowles' future price is the expected price of Knowles instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Knowles performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Knowles Backtesting, Knowles Valuation, Knowles Correlation, Knowles Hype Analysis, Knowles Volatility, Knowles History as well as Knowles Performance.
  
Please specify Knowles' target price for which you would like Knowles odds to be computed.

Knowles Target Price Odds to finish below 16.5

The tendency of Knowles Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 16.50  or more in 90 days
 18.50 90 days 16.50 
about 44.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Knowles to drop to € 16.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.33 (This Knowles probability density function shows the probability of Knowles Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Knowles price to stay between € 16.50  and its current price of €18.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Knowles will likely underperform. Additionally Knowles has an alpha of 0.175, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Knowles Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Knowles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knowles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5318.5020.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2720.2422.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6818.6520.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9818.5019.02
Details

Knowles Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Knowles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Knowles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Knowles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Knowles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Knowles Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Knowles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Knowles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 764.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (430.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 308.5 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Knowles Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Knowles Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Knowles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knowles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.1 M

Knowles Technical Analysis

Knowles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Knowles Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Knowles. In general, you should focus on analyzing Knowles Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Knowles Predictive Forecast Models

Knowles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Knowles' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Knowles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Knowles

Checking the ongoing alerts about Knowles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Knowles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 764.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (430.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 308.5 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in Knowles Stock

Knowles financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knowles Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knowles with respect to the benefits of owning Knowles security.