SANOK RUBBER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.34

1NX Stock  EUR 4.34  0.05  1.17%   
SANOK RUBBER's future price is the expected price of SANOK RUBBER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SANOK RUBBER ZY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SANOK RUBBER Backtesting, SANOK RUBBER Valuation, SANOK RUBBER Correlation, SANOK RUBBER Hype Analysis, SANOK RUBBER Volatility, SANOK RUBBER History as well as SANOK RUBBER Performance.
  
Please specify SANOK RUBBER's target price for which you would like SANOK RUBBER odds to be computed.

SANOK RUBBER Target Price Odds to finish over 4.34

The tendency of SANOK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.34 90 days 4.34 
about 35.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SANOK RUBBER to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.38 (This SANOK RUBBER ZY probability density function shows the probability of SANOK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SANOK RUBBER has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SANOK RUBBER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SANOK RUBBER ZY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SANOK RUBBER ZY has an alpha of 0.3778, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SANOK RUBBER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SANOK RUBBER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANOK RUBBER ZY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.594.348.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.194.948.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.374.117.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.284.324.37
Details

SANOK RUBBER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SANOK RUBBER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SANOK RUBBER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SANOK RUBBER ZY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SANOK RUBBER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

SANOK RUBBER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SANOK RUBBER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SANOK RUBBER ZY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANOK RUBBER ZY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

SANOK RUBBER Technical Analysis

SANOK RUBBER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANOK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SANOK RUBBER ZY. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANOK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SANOK RUBBER Predictive Forecast Models

SANOK RUBBER's time-series forecasting models is one of many SANOK RUBBER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SANOK RUBBER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SANOK RUBBER ZY

Checking the ongoing alerts about SANOK RUBBER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SANOK RUBBER ZY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANOK RUBBER ZY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SANOK Stock

SANOK RUBBER financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANOK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANOK with respect to the benefits of owning SANOK RUBBER security.