Yulon Nissan (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 83.19
| 2227 Stock | TWD 96.90 5.50 6.02% |
Yulon |
Yulon Nissan Target Price Odds to finish over 83.19
The tendency of Yulon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 83.19 in 90 days |
| 96.90 | 90 days | 83.19 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yulon Nissan to stay above NT$ 83.19 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Yulon Nissan Motor probability density function shows the probability of Yulon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yulon Nissan Motor price to stay between NT$ 83.19 and its current price of NT$96.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yulon Nissan has a beta of 0.045. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yulon Nissan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yulon Nissan Motor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yulon Nissan Motor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yulon Nissan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yulon Nissan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yulon Nissan Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yulon Nissan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yulon Nissan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yulon Nissan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yulon Nissan Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yulon Nissan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Yulon Nissan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yulon Nissan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yulon Nissan Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yulon Nissan Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yulon Nissan Motor has accumulated about 7.32 B in cash with (150.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.39. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Yulon Nissan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yulon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yulon Nissan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yulon Nissan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300 M |
Yulon Nissan Technical Analysis
Yulon Nissan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yulon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yulon Nissan Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yulon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yulon Nissan Predictive Forecast Models
Yulon Nissan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yulon Nissan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yulon Nissan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yulon Nissan Motor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yulon Nissan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yulon Nissan Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yulon Nissan Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yulon Nissan Motor has accumulated about 7.32 B in cash with (150.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.39. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Yulon Stock Analysis
When running Yulon Nissan's price analysis, check to measure Yulon Nissan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yulon Nissan is operating at the current time. Most of Yulon Nissan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yulon Nissan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yulon Nissan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yulon Nissan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.