SIMMTECH (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9,866

222800 Stock  KRW 11,960  50.00  0.42%   
SIMMTECH's future price is the expected price of SIMMTECH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SIMMTECH Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SIMMTECH Backtesting, SIMMTECH Valuation, SIMMTECH Correlation, SIMMTECH Hype Analysis, SIMMTECH Volatility, SIMMTECH History as well as SIMMTECH Performance.
  
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SIMMTECH Target Price Odds to finish below 9,866

The tendency of SIMMTECH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 11,960 90 days 11,960 
roughly 2.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SIMMTECH to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.73 (This SIMMTECH Co probability density function shows the probability of SIMMTECH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SIMMTECH has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SIMMTECH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SIMMTECH Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SIMMTECH Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SIMMTECH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SIMMTECH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIMMTECH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,95711,96011,963
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,87011,87313,156
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,42211,42511,427
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,79712,02612,255
Details

SIMMTECH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SIMMTECH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SIMMTECH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SIMMTECH Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SIMMTECH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
3,095
Ir
Information ratio -0.37

SIMMTECH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SIMMTECH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SIMMTECH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIMMTECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SIMMTECH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SIMMTECH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SIMMTECH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SIMMTECH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.7 B

SIMMTECH Technical Analysis

SIMMTECH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIMMTECH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SIMMTECH Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIMMTECH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SIMMTECH Predictive Forecast Models

SIMMTECH's time-series forecasting models is one of many SIMMTECH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SIMMTECH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SIMMTECH

Checking the ongoing alerts about SIMMTECH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SIMMTECH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SIMMTECH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SIMMTECH Stock

SIMMTECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIMMTECH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIMMTECH with respect to the benefits of owning SIMMTECH security.