Acer (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.31

2353 Stock  TWD 38.75  0.65  1.71%   
Acer's future price is the expected price of Acer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acer Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Acer Backtesting, Acer Valuation, Acer Correlation, Acer Hype Analysis, Acer Volatility, Acer History as well as Acer Performance.
  
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Acer Target Price Odds to finish over 37.31

The tendency of Acer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above NT$ 37.31  in 90 days
 38.75 90 days 37.31 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acer to stay above NT$ 37.31  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Acer Inc probability density function shows the probability of Acer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acer Inc price to stay between NT$ 37.31  and its current price of NT$38.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acer has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acer Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acer Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Acer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acer Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.4438.1039.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.8436.5038.16
Details

Acer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acer Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Acer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acer Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acer Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Acer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Acer Technical Analysis

Acer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acer Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acer Predictive Forecast Models

Acer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acer Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acer Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acer Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Acer Stock Analysis

When running Acer's price analysis, check to measure Acer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acer is operating at the current time. Most of Acer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.