Cheng Uei (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 87.8

2392 Stock  TWD 87.80  7.90  9.89%   
Cheng Uei's future price is the expected price of Cheng Uei instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cheng Uei Precision performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cheng Uei Backtesting, Cheng Uei Valuation, Cheng Uei Correlation, Cheng Uei Hype Analysis, Cheng Uei Volatility, Cheng Uei History as well as Cheng Uei Performance.
  
Please specify Cheng Uei's target price for which you would like Cheng Uei odds to be computed.

Cheng Uei Target Price Odds to finish over 87.8

The tendency of Cheng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 87.80 90 days 87.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheng Uei to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cheng Uei Precision probability density function shows the probability of Cheng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cheng Uei has a beta of 0.59. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cheng Uei average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheng Uei Precision will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheng Uei Precision has an alpha of 0.3699, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cheng Uei Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheng Uei

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheng Uei Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.5687.8091.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.1062.3496.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.7885.0288.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.7480.2093.66
Details

Cheng Uei Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheng Uei is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheng Uei's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheng Uei Precision, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheng Uei within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
5.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Cheng Uei Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheng Uei for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheng Uei Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheng Uei Precision had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cheng Uei Precision has accumulated NT$17.75 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Cheng Uei Precision has accumulated about 7.93 B in cash with (3.55 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.37.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Cheng Uei Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheng Uei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheng Uei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding484.8 M

Cheng Uei Technical Analysis

Cheng Uei's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheng Uei Precision. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cheng Uei Predictive Forecast Models

Cheng Uei's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheng Uei's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheng Uei's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cheng Uei Precision

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheng Uei for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheng Uei Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheng Uei Precision had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cheng Uei Precision has accumulated NT$17.75 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Cheng Uei Precision has accumulated about 7.93 B in cash with (3.55 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.37.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Cheng Stock Analysis

When running Cheng Uei's price analysis, check to measure Cheng Uei's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheng Uei is operating at the current time. Most of Cheng Uei's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheng Uei's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheng Uei's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheng Uei to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.