Nanya Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.09
| 2408 Stock | TWD 35.85 0.80 2.18% |
Nanya |
Nanya Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 38.09
The tendency of Nanya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 38.09 or more in 90 days |
| 35.85 | 90 days | 38.09 | about 91.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanya Technology to move over NT$ 38.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.87 (This Nanya Technology Corp probability density function shows the probability of Nanya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanya Technology Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 35.85 and NT$ 38.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nanya Technology has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nanya Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nanya Technology Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nanya Technology Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nanya Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nanya Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanya Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nanya Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanya Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanya Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanya Technology Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanya Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Nanya Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanya Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanya Technology Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nanya Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nanya Technology Corp has accumulated 252.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.1, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Nanya Technology Corp has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nanya Technology until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nanya Technology's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nanya Technology Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nanya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nanya Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of Nanya Technology shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Nanya Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanya Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanya Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
Nanya Technology Technical Analysis
Nanya Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanya Technology Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nanya Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Nanya Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanya Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanya Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nanya Technology Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanya Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanya Technology Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nanya Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nanya Technology Corp has accumulated 252.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.1, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Nanya Technology Corp has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nanya Technology until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nanya Technology's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nanya Technology Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nanya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nanya Technology's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of Nanya Technology shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Nanya Stock Analysis
When running Nanya Technology's price analysis, check to measure Nanya Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nanya Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Nanya Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nanya Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nanya Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nanya Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.