Sunonwealth Electric (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.50
| 2421 Stock | TWD 105.00 6.30 6.38% |
Sunonwealth |
Sunonwealth Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 98.50
The tendency of Sunonwealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 98.50 or more in 90 days |
| 105.00 | 90 days | 98.50 | about 60.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunonwealth Electric to drop to NT$ 98.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.54 (This Sunonwealth Electric Machine probability density function shows the probability of Sunonwealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunonwealth Electric price to stay between NT$ 98.50 and its current price of NT$105.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sunonwealth Electric will likely underperform. Additionally Sunonwealth Electric Machine has an alpha of 0.0458, implying that it can generate a 0.0458 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sunonwealth Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sunonwealth Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunonwealth Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sunonwealth Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunonwealth Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunonwealth Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunonwealth Electric Machine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunonwealth Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Sunonwealth Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunonwealth Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunonwealth Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sunonwealth Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunonwealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunonwealth Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunonwealth Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250.9 M |
Sunonwealth Electric Technical Analysis
Sunonwealth Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunonwealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunonwealth Electric Machine. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunonwealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sunonwealth Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Sunonwealth Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunonwealth Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunonwealth Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sunonwealth Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunonwealth Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunonwealth Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Sunonwealth Stock Analysis
When running Sunonwealth Electric's price analysis, check to measure Sunonwealth Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunonwealth Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Sunonwealth Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunonwealth Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunonwealth Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunonwealth Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.