Tsann Kuen (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.5
| 2430 Stock | TWD 31.95 0.15 0.47% |
Tsann |
Tsann Kuen Target Price Odds to finish below 32.5
The tendency of Tsann Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 32.50 after 90 days |
| 31.95 | 90 days | 32.50 | about 17.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tsann Kuen to stay under NT$ 32.50 after 90 days from now is about 17.88 (This Tsann Kuen Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Tsann Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tsann Kuen Enterprise price to stay between its current price of NT$ 31.95 and NT$ 32.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tsann Kuen Enterprise has a beta of -0.0638. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tsann Kuen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tsann Kuen Enterprise is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tsann Kuen Enterprise has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tsann Kuen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tsann Kuen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tsann Kuen Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tsann Kuen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tsann Kuen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tsann Kuen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tsann Kuen Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tsann Kuen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Tsann Kuen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tsann Kuen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tsann Kuen Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tsann Kuen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tsann Kuen Enterprise has accumulated 5.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tsann Kuen Enterprise has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tsann Kuen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tsann Kuen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tsann Kuen Enterprise sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tsann to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tsann Kuen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of Tsann Kuen shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Tsann Kuen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tsann Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tsann Kuen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tsann Kuen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 166.5 M |
Tsann Kuen Technical Analysis
Tsann Kuen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tsann Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tsann Kuen Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tsann Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tsann Kuen Predictive Forecast Models
Tsann Kuen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tsann Kuen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tsann Kuen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tsann Kuen Enterprise
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tsann Kuen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tsann Kuen Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tsann Kuen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tsann Kuen Enterprise has accumulated 5.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tsann Kuen Enterprise has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tsann Kuen until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tsann Kuen's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tsann Kuen Enterprise sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tsann to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tsann Kuen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of Tsann Kuen shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Tsann Stock Analysis
When running Tsann Kuen's price analysis, check to measure Tsann Kuen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tsann Kuen is operating at the current time. Most of Tsann Kuen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tsann Kuen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tsann Kuen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tsann Kuen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.