Ampoc Far (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 116.91
| 2493 Stock | TWD 108.50 3.50 3.12% |
Ampoc |
Ampoc Far Target Price Odds to finish over 116.91
The tendency of Ampoc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 116.91 or more in 90 days |
| 108.50 | 90 days | 116.91 | about 8.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ampoc Far to move over NT$ 116.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.75 (This Ampoc Far East Co probability density function shows the probability of Ampoc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ampoc Far East price to stay between its current price of NT$ 108.50 and NT$ 116.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ampoc Far has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ampoc Far average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ampoc Far East Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ampoc Far East Co has an alpha of 0.3501, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ampoc Far Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ampoc Far
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampoc Far East. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ampoc Far Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ampoc Far is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ampoc Far's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ampoc Far East Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ampoc Far within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Ampoc Far Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ampoc Far for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ampoc Far East can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ampoc Far East had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ampoc Far Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ampoc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ampoc Far's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampoc Far's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 286.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.3 M |
Ampoc Far Technical Analysis
Ampoc Far's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ampoc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ampoc Far East Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ampoc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ampoc Far Predictive Forecast Models
Ampoc Far's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ampoc Far's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ampoc Far's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ampoc Far East
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ampoc Far for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ampoc Far East help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ampoc Far East had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Ampoc Stock Analysis
When running Ampoc Far's price analysis, check to measure Ampoc Far's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampoc Far is operating at the current time. Most of Ampoc Far's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampoc Far's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampoc Far's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampoc Far to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.