Maeil Dairies (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37,457

267980 Stock  KRW 38,150  600.00  1.60%   
Maeil Dairies' future price is the expected price of Maeil Dairies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maeil Dairies Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maeil Dairies Backtesting, Maeil Dairies Valuation, Maeil Dairies Correlation, Maeil Dairies Hype Analysis, Maeil Dairies Volatility, Maeil Dairies History as well as Maeil Dairies Performance.
  
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Maeil Dairies Target Price Odds to finish over 37,457

The tendency of Maeil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38,150 90 days 38,150 
about 74.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maeil Dairies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.04 (This Maeil Dairies Co probability density function shows the probability of Maeil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maeil Dairies Co has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maeil Dairies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maeil Dairies Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maeil Dairies Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maeil Dairies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maeil Dairies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maeil Dairies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38,14938,15038,151
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32,10832,10941,965
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37,76837,76937,770
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37,38437,95038,516
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Maeil Dairies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Maeil Dairies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Maeil Dairies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Maeil Dairies.

Maeil Dairies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maeil Dairies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maeil Dairies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maeil Dairies Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maeil Dairies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
972.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Maeil Dairies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maeil Dairies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maeil Dairies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maeil Dairies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Maeil Dairies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maeil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maeil Dairies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maeil Dairies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments297.8 B

Maeil Dairies Technical Analysis

Maeil Dairies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maeil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maeil Dairies Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maeil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maeil Dairies Predictive Forecast Models

Maeil Dairies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Maeil Dairies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maeil Dairies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maeil Dairies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maeil Dairies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maeil Dairies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maeil Dairies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Maeil Stock

Maeil Dairies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maeil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maeil with respect to the benefits of owning Maeil Dairies security.