Iljin HySolus (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16373.7

271940 Stock   18,390  880.00  4.57%   
Iljin HySolus' future price is the expected price of Iljin HySolus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iljin HySolus Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iljin HySolus Backtesting, Iljin HySolus Valuation, Iljin HySolus Correlation, Iljin HySolus Hype Analysis, Iljin HySolus Volatility, Iljin HySolus History as well as Iljin HySolus Performance.
  
Please specify Iljin HySolus' target price for which you would like Iljin HySolus odds to be computed.

Iljin HySolus Target Price Odds to finish below 16373.7

The tendency of Iljin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  16,374  or more in 90 days
 18,390 90 days 16,374 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iljin HySolus to drop to  16,374  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Iljin HySolus Co probability density function shows the probability of Iljin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iljin HySolus price to stay between  16,374  and its current price of 18390.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iljin HySolus Co has a beta of -0.47. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Iljin HySolus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Iljin HySolus Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Iljin HySolus Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Iljin HySolus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iljin HySolus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iljin HySolus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,38818,39018,392
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,00216,00420,229
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19,22219,22519,227
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17,05819,55422,050
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iljin HySolus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iljin HySolus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iljin HySolus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iljin HySolus.

Iljin HySolus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iljin HySolus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iljin HySolus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iljin HySolus Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iljin HySolus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1,238
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Iljin HySolus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iljin HySolus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iljin HySolus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iljin HySolus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Iljin HySolus Technical Analysis

Iljin HySolus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iljin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iljin HySolus Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iljin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iljin HySolus Predictive Forecast Models

Iljin HySolus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Iljin HySolus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iljin HySolus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iljin HySolus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iljin HySolus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iljin HySolus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iljin HySolus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Iljin Stock

Iljin HySolus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iljin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iljin with respect to the benefits of owning Iljin HySolus security.