Shinkong Insurance (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 102.24
| 2850 Stock | TWD 99.80 0.70 0.70% |
Shinkong |
Shinkong Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 102.24
The tendency of Shinkong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 102.24 or more in 90 days |
| 99.80 | 90 days | 102.24 | roughly 2.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shinkong Insurance to move over NT$ 102.24 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.87 (This Shinkong Insurance Co probability density function shows the probability of Shinkong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shinkong Insurance price to stay between its current price of NT$ 99.80 and NT$ 102.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shinkong Insurance has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shinkong Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shinkong Insurance Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shinkong Insurance Co has an alpha of 0.0536, implying that it can generate a 0.0536 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shinkong Insurance Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Shinkong Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinkong Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shinkong Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shinkong Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shinkong Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shinkong Insurance Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shinkong Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Shinkong Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shinkong Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shinkong Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shinkong Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shinkong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shinkong Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shinkong Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 316 M |
Shinkong Insurance Technical Analysis
Shinkong Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shinkong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shinkong Insurance Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shinkong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shinkong Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Shinkong Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shinkong Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shinkong Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shinkong Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shinkong Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shinkong Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Shinkong Stock Analysis
When running Shinkong Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Shinkong Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shinkong Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Shinkong Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shinkong Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shinkong Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shinkong Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.