Aptamer Sciences (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,936

291650 Stock  KRW 1,816  73.00  3.86%   
Aptamer Sciences' future price is the expected price of Aptamer Sciences instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aptamer Sciences performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aptamer Sciences Backtesting, Aptamer Sciences Valuation, Aptamer Sciences Correlation, Aptamer Sciences Hype Analysis, Aptamer Sciences Volatility, Aptamer Sciences History as well as Aptamer Sciences Performance.
  
Please specify Aptamer Sciences' target price for which you would like Aptamer Sciences odds to be computed.

Aptamer Sciences Target Price Odds to finish below 1,936

The tendency of Aptamer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,816 90 days 1,816 
about 20.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptamer Sciences to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 20.34 (This Aptamer Sciences probability density function shows the probability of Aptamer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aptamer Sciences has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aptamer Sciences are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aptamer Sciences is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aptamer Sciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aptamer Sciences Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aptamer Sciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptamer Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8061,8161,826
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,6341,6441,998
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9501,9601,970
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,7721,8401,909
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aptamer Sciences. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aptamer Sciences' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aptamer Sciences' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aptamer Sciences.

Aptamer Sciences Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptamer Sciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptamer Sciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptamer Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptamer Sciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
327.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Aptamer Sciences Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptamer Sciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptamer Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aptamer Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aptamer Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 269.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.83 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 157.44 M.
Aptamer Sciences has accumulated about 1.01 B in cash with (3.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Aptamer Sciences Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aptamer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aptamer Sciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptamer Sciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.2 B

Aptamer Sciences Technical Analysis

Aptamer Sciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptamer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptamer Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptamer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aptamer Sciences Predictive Forecast Models

Aptamer Sciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptamer Sciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptamer Sciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aptamer Sciences

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptamer Sciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptamer Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aptamer Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aptamer Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 269.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.83 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 157.44 M.
Aptamer Sciences has accumulated about 1.01 B in cash with (3.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Aptamer Stock

Aptamer Sciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aptamer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aptamer with respect to the benefits of owning Aptamer Sciences security.